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Sep 28, 2012
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. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. dukakis was leading after the democratic convention but lost to bush. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are varying in the sampling and methodology so it's hard to make the case when they point in one direction, they're all wrong. but we are planning for a close race as we always have. >> another democratic strategist offered this assessment. >> this isn't over. it can move back and forth three and four times between now and november 6. if i'm romney you try to create that momentum. he saw a sign to do it. >> of the eight presidential races in the past ten where the leads were cut or flipped by the opponent, the average was 5%. in some cases a debate moved the need
. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. dukakis was leading after the democratic convention but lost to bush. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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at this point in the campaign george bush was at 40%. he had been one point lower three weeks earlier. forty-seven person is a list george w. bush went in 2004. he climbed steadily back up until the get the 54% before the election. in 1996 when bill clinton was running for reelection, at this point in the campaign he was not at 44%. he was at 504%. that is that 10 percent difference president obama has so destroyed the confidence of his own party in an independence that he is lagging ten points behind where bill clinton was. he is in terrible political say and for reasons i will review here shortly he is going to get worse before it gets better. i personally believe that 44 percent is a ceiling, not a floor. that is, inflated. my friend, great assistant to richard nixon, ronald reagan speech writer and adviser has long argued that there is no such thing as a bradley effect. the bradley effect is named for mayor tom bradley of los angeles when he ran against george deukmejian did not do as well in the final balloting is he had been doing
at this point in the campaign george bush was at 40%. he had been one point lower three weeks earlier. forty-seven person is a list george w. bush went in 2004. he climbed steadily back up until the get the 54% before the election. in 1996 when bill clinton was running for reelection, at this point in the campaign he was not at 44%. he was at 504%. that is that 10 percent difference president obama has so destroyed the confidence of his own party in an independence that he is lagging ten points...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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you don't want to do what al gore did when he debated george w. bush in 2000, seemed robotic or awkward, don't seem like you're one of us. president obama has developed a sort of zenlike unflappable demeanor. it's hard to get him off that game, hard to jar him. so mitt romney needs to try to do that a little. i would hope they've prepared jokes. ronald reagan was good at the jokes. you also have to know how to deliver them. >> absolutely. >> you can have great jokes written, but if you say them at the wrong minute it will backfire. >> a couple seconds left. what's your favorite debate moment in history? >> i like 1980 when ronald reagan said, ther said, "there o again." there's a whole wikipedia site on that quote. it allowed ronald reagan to triumph. >> great to talk to you today. thank you so much for joining us. >> thank you. take care. >> lots to look forward to next week. all right, what would you do for the man or woman you love? up next, how this man made his girlfriend's dream come true. stay with us. [ owner ] i need to expand to meet the
you don't want to do what al gore did when he debated george w. bush in 2000, seemed robotic or awkward, don't seem like you're one of us. president obama has developed a sort of zenlike unflappable demeanor. it's hard to get him off that game, hard to jar him. so mitt romney needs to try to do that a little. i would hope they've prepared jokes. ronald reagan was good at the jokes. you also have to know how to deliver them. >> absolutely. >> you can have great jokes written, but if...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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you are not allowed to mention george bush on my show. >> you always go back to bush. >> the republicans giving us foreign policy advice is like the replacement refs in the nfl. >> judge jeanine: when four americans are used they won't even use the word terror. >> they talked about it being an act of al-qaeda. >> i thought they finished al-qaeda? >> absolutely. >> the top leadership. certain doesn't -- i mean -- you know, the thing is the republicans are so much more intent on coming out and screaming and acting like cowboys. >> screaming. oh, on 9/11 it was a premeditated attack. >> judge jeanine: didn't the administration lie when they said it was about a video, john? >> it was a couple of days into it. they were still gathering intelligence. >> just answer the question. >> judge jeanine: why didn't they say they were gathering intelligence? >> i think they should have said that? >> did they mislead the american people. >> they went on the basis of the intelligence they had. >> he is not going to answer the question because there is no way to take up for what they did. they blamed it o
you are not allowed to mention george bush on my show. >> you always go back to bush. >> the republicans giving us foreign policy advice is like the replacement refs in the nfl. >> judge jeanine: when four americans are used they won't even use the word terror. >> they talked about it being an act of al-qaeda. >> i thought they finished al-qaeda? >> absolutely. >> the top leadership. certain doesn't -- i mean -- you know, the thing is the republicans...
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Sep 30, 2012
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and even though he had more facts and sharp answer, heefls deemed the loser to george w. bush. and the debates didn't affect the race in 2008 between president obama and then the senator and then john mccain. there is no doubt that paul ryan is expecting romney to go very hard at president obam asuggesting that there has been a sort of a misleadingleading ad deceptive framework for the campaign. mr. romny and ryan are trying to frame this as a choice between the dependency society and the romney society, which they say is built on independence and personal responsibility. watch. it. >> i know what president obama has done. i know the empty promises, broken promises. i know the ugly, stagnant economy. what are mitt romney and paul ryan offering to get us back on track? i think that's what we will get out of wednesday. if we get that out, the country understands the choice. >> stop lying, mr. president. >> lying? >> yeah! >> what's the lie? >> governor romney is not talking about tax cuts for the wealthy. he says that the wealthy will take just as much under the romney administra
and even though he had more facts and sharp answer, heefls deemed the loser to george w. bush. and the debates didn't affect the race in 2008 between president obama and then the senator and then john mccain. there is no doubt that paul ryan is expecting romney to go very hard at president obam asuggesting that there has been a sort of a misleadingleading ad deceptive framework for the campaign. mr. romny and ryan are trying to frame this as a choice between the dependency society and the...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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i remember when george bush ii ran. kerry was excellent, but there was a core in bush, despite the fact he was losing the debates, that sort of connected with people. so even though we felt, i was there the first kerry/bush debate, we felt that he was slaughtered by kerry. but you didn't leave there disliking him. the problem with romney is, his likability. and if he walks out tonight, not only losing, but still not likable, it's over with. >> i just want to talk about what steve said. i think we know who president obama is. and i think there were some real impactful moments in the last time president obama was in this position. in one of the debates, foreign policy was huge. and there was a big narrative out there that president obama, you know, he couldn't take the 3:00 a.m. phone call, wasn't prepared, didn't have executive experience, wasn't ready to do foreign policy. president obama stood up in that debate, and i think it's one for the highlight reel. he said, if we have intelligence that osama bin laden is, you k
i remember when george bush ii ran. kerry was excellent, but there was a core in bush, despite the fact he was losing the debates, that sort of connected with people. so even though we felt, i was there the first kerry/bush debate, we felt that he was slaughtered by kerry. but you didn't leave there disliking him. the problem with romney is, his likability. and if he walks out tonight, not only losing, but still not likable, it's over with. >> i just want to talk about what steve said. i...
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Sep 30, 2012
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the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay attention to them. we are out of time. thank you all for your attention. thank you for your questions. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] >> monday, a citizen's guide to the 2012 presidential debate from the national communications association panel looking at the hours of the debates coming up next month. live coverage begins at 1:00 p.m. eastern on c-span. >> you established a third party. you ran twice. you established -- what was the name of it? united we stand? the reform party. do you feel that is needed today? there's something wrong with the two party system which has got more acrimonious with each party back on their 10-yard line. >> it's almost impossible to do it. it would be a healthy th
the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay attention to them. we are out of time. thank you all for your attention. thank you for your questions. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable...
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Sep 26, 2012
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>> steve: george bushes fault? >> gretchen: i am anding a question. >> you are exposing the attitude of the establishment media to all of president obama and his economic record. break it down. the president said i am only 10 percent responsible for a massive accumulation of debt. he is a big spender, a very big spender and that's the principle reason why we have a massive deficit of trillion a year. he has raised government spending the latestleast of modern presidents. but he raised it 23. look at pure obama areas, he is the biggest spending since president truman. >> steve: what is interesting george bush 3.2. spending up 3.2. over lap bush and obama 10 percent . the cure obama years. 10-13. that is 23 percent increase. >> steve: why didn't you make that available to people of 60 minutes. >> would they have use today? i don't think so. >> brian: it was carried over with interest. and he's only responsible for 10 percent of the deficit that is being pened on him. >> you can juggle around the numbers all you like.
>> steve: george bushes fault? >> gretchen: i am anding a question. >> you are exposing the attitude of the establishment media to all of president obama and his economic record. break it down. the president said i am only 10 percent responsible for a massive accumulation of debt. he is a big spender, a very big spender and that's the principle reason why we have a massive deficit of trillion a year. he has raised government spending the latestleast of modern presidents. but...
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Sep 29, 2012
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george bush once looked at his watch in a debate. that cost him more than any factual mistake. >> rick: susan estrich, always good to talk to you. read her column in newspapers all over the country, printed on wednesdays and fridays. take care enjoy watching the debates. harris faulkner and i will be anchoring foxnews.com's live coverage of the first presidential debate, wednesday night, coverage on foxnews.com begins at 8:30 p.m. eastern time, lots of ways to participate and chat with us, live during that show. >>> let's go to the plaza where i know arthel, there are a few things a guy likes more than a beautiful woman and a beautiful car. >> arthel: flattery will get you everywhere. here's a fact this is a pretty ride but it costs a pretty penny. consumer reports is up next to tell us if it's worth it. [♪...] >> announcer: with nothing but his computer, an identity thief is able to use your information to open a bank account in order to make your money his money. [whoosh, clang] you need lifelock, the only identity theft protecti
george bush once looked at his watch in a debate. that cost him more than any factual mistake. >> rick: susan estrich, always good to talk to you. read her column in newspapers all over the country, printed on wednesdays and fridays. take care enjoy watching the debates. harris faulkner and i will be anchoring foxnews.com's live coverage of the first presidential debate, wednesday night, coverage on foxnews.com begins at 8:30 p.m. eastern time, lots of ways to participate and chat with...
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bush, ron christine joining us, and freedom watch president, bush staffer, brad blakeman. brad, good to have you with us. brad, starting, if i may, with you. this is becoming an unwieldy weight for the administration. surely, they understand how urgent it is that the record be set straight and soon. >> well, here's where the cover up begins. they are trying to cover tracks by saying initially the intelligent services told them it was a spoon tape yows attack, but the key questions, lou, is what did the president know? when did he know it? when did the narrative change? did the president ask questions? was he briefed in person? or rely on paper reports? one thing is for sure, lou, and that's this. if this happened in new york, if one of the ambassadors picked off the streets in new york and the consulate in new york to the u.n. was damaged like in libya, there would have been hell to pay. what's the difference between where our ambassadors picked off by terrorist terrorists whether the votes of new york or benghazi. how is it possible the administration and the president, w
bush, ron christine joining us, and freedom watch president, bush staffer, brad blakeman. brad, good to have you with us. brad, starting, if i may, with you. this is becoming an unwieldy weight for the administration. surely, they understand how urgent it is that the record be set straight and soon. >> well, here's where the cover up begins. they are trying to cover tracks by saying initially the intelligent services told them it was a spoon tape yows attack, but the key questions, lou,...
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Oct 3, 2012
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george h.w. bush looking at his watch. appearances count, don't they? >> they really do. and a professional knows that. george h.w. bush in that debate, that third one in richmond in 1992, he was looking at his watch because he was trying to make the point that one of the other candidates had run over time. it didn't really compute this was sending the message that he was impatient, just the kind of message he didn't want to send. >> humor can be an effective tool, diffuse a weakness. >> i will not make age an issue of this campaign. i am not going to exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience. >> and at that moment, a lot of people said well, there's the ball game. including his opponent. >> including walter mondale. >> what do you think about humor as a tool in this debate tonight? >> you'd better be a very accomplished actor like reagan or else it probably won't work. in that case, reagan said certain things that might have given rise to further worry he was too old to serve a second term. got things wrong. ran over in his final concluding rema
george h.w. bush looking at his watch. appearances count, don't they? >> they really do. and a professional knows that. george h.w. bush in that debate, that third one in richmond in 1992, he was looking at his watch because he was trying to make the point that one of the other candidates had run over time. it didn't really compute this was sending the message that he was impatient, just the kind of message he didn't want to send. >> humor can be an effective tool, diffuse a...
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george bush still lost that election, but he closed in close enough for the supreme court to make the call at home plate. but, my favorite, the absolute best debate moment of all lloyd benson, 1988 versus dan quayle. >> i have as much experience in the congress as jack kennedy did when he got the presidency. >> senator i served with jack kennedy. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you're no jack kennedy. [ cheers and applause ] >> that was really uncalled for senator. >> you're the one that was making the comparison, senator. >> oh, smack! >> i love that! >> and there's one more. let's keep them on a high note. there's one more not from a general election debate but from a primary just last year with one of our favorite candidates in the republican primary mr. governor rick perry. >> it's three agencies of government i when i got there that are gone, commerce, education and the -- what's the third one there? oh,! >> commerce, education and the... >> e.p.a.? >> e.p.a. >> seriously? is e.p.a. what you were talking about? >> nos, nos, we were talking about t
george bush still lost that election, but he closed in close enough for the supreme court to make the call at home plate. but, my favorite, the absolute best debate moment of all lloyd benson, 1988 versus dan quayle. >> i have as much experience in the congress as jack kennedy did when he got the presidency. >> senator i served with jack kennedy. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you're no jack kennedy. [ cheers and applause ] >> that was really...
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if you looked at in 2004, george bush running against a decorated war hero in john kerry and had a similar margin. it seems romney has been doing everything in his power to cut the margin whether insulting veterans by his 47% remark or for getting the troops in his mention speech. >> heather: you say like it is a given veterans in the military vote would go to republicans and we shouldn't be surprised by this. yet, in 2008 president obama won virginia specifically the first time a democrat had won that state in 44 years. he also won all of the other states we mentioned in our introduction, colorado, florida, ohio and virginia what is president obama doing wrong in time around? >> he's not doing anything wrong. you are right, win virginia last time. i believe he will win it again this time. he does have a lead in that state in most polls. the one area where he's behind is the veteran vote. he's running even with white males against romney, if you take out the veterans vote. >> heather: that veteran vote is significant. trey, veterans are a high turn-out demographic concentrated in battlegro
if you looked at in 2004, george bush running against a decorated war hero in john kerry and had a similar margin. it seems romney has been doing everything in his power to cut the margin whether insulting veterans by his 47% remark or for getting the troops in his mention speech. >> heather: you say like it is a given veterans in the military vote would go to republicans and we shouldn't be surprised by this. yet, in 2008 president obama won virginia specifically the first time a...
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you can go back to famous debates, al gore and george bush where al gore sed more intelligent things on the stage but his demeanor was so lousy he got bad reviews. so, with a full month of october dedicated to these four weeks, these debates will probably erase a lot of opinions about both men and help undecided voters make up their minds. >> gregg: obama campaign suggests that romney wins the debate by appearing on the stage. is that true? >> there is some truth to that. they are belittling romney by that comment saying that barack obama is the incumbent chief executive. but by standing on the stage, mitt romney will have an opportunity to have his ideas and presentation compared first time, no reporters telling people how it can be interpreted or no analysts or pundits telling them how it should be interpreted. it will give an opportunity for mitt romney, he hopes, romney hopes to call out the president on some of the deceptions of his positions. mitt romney has argued that he does not support abortion with the exception of rape and incest and life of the mother. barack obama campa
you can go back to famous debates, al gore and george bush where al gore sed more intelligent things on the stage but his demeanor was so lousy he got bad reviews. so, with a full month of october dedicated to these four weeks, these debates will probably erase a lot of opinions about both men and help undecided voters make up their minds. >> gregg: obama campaign suggests that romney wins the debate by appearing on the stage. is that true? >> there is some truth to that. they are...
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Sep 26, 2012
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one of the models that president obama has, president george h.w. bush, president bush senior. his rolodex and his friendships made an enormous difference in the quality of his presidency on foreign policy. you know, when saddam went into kuwait and the united states was able to round up all those friends, a lot of that had to do with the personal relationships that george bush senior had established over time, and people give you the benefit of the doubt when there's skepticism. look at the distrust that exists between netanyahu and president obama on that very issue alone. we could have a conflict with iran that sort of comes through just the two people not having a very good personal relationship and maybe misreading each other. i think these things are very, very important in international diplomacy, especially in the middle east. >> critics of governor romney say look, he's done his share of light interviews but it's a different, i mean, the standard for somebody campaigning who is not in public office and somebody who is president of the united states is very different. >
one of the models that president obama has, president george h.w. bush, president bush senior. his rolodex and his friendships made an enormous difference in the quality of his presidency on foreign policy. you know, when saddam went into kuwait and the united states was able to round up all those friends, a lot of that had to do with the personal relationships that george bush senior had established over time, and people give you the benefit of the doubt when there's skepticism. look at the...
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Sep 27, 2012
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but, look, george bush may actually be doing mr. romney a favor because if the nation decides that he's not fit to be president, at least we'll all know where to go for advice on offshore investments. thank you so much for watching. chris matthews and "hardball" is next. >>> romney losing his bearings. let's play "hardball." >>> good evening. i'm chris matthews in washington. let me start with this. why do we have such long campaigns for president? because it's a tryout a chance to not just kick the tires, not just to look under the hood, but to actually take the car out for a drive. over the past several weeks this country has experienced what it's like being in a car with mitt romney. we've felt the swerves, the sudden shifts, the abrupt stops and reverses, the reckless changes of lanes, the slipping and the sliding. there's more road ahead, of course, including three debates, but e
but, look, george bush may actually be doing mr. romney a favor because if the nation decides that he's not fit to be president, at least we'll all know where to go for advice on offshore investments. thank you so much for watching. chris matthews and "hardball" is next. >>> romney losing his bearings. let's play "hardball." >>> good evening. i'm chris matthews in washington. let me start with this. why do we have such long campaigns for president? because...
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it was the result, i believe, and the president believes, of failed policies of george bush. that's what he walked into. very different world than anything in the campaign. here's what he did. he walked into office. we were shedding 750,000 jobs a month. you know all this. >> sean: wait a minute. >> let me finish. now we've created 5 million jobs over four years. >> sean: that's not true. that's not true, sir. sir, there are fewer americans working than when he took office. that is a fact. you get it right from the bureau of labor and statistics. here's the point, when he ran in 2008 he said it's the worst economy since the great depression. he told it was bad. he said and projected that if we pass a stimulus -- he's already in office now -- that by now he would have created 8.7 million jobs. but again, fewer americans working than when he took office. and he gave us $6 trillion in debt. why should we believe him? why won't you just admit these are simple basic truths? seems like the obama campaign can't face this reality. >> no, i think we face the reality. we were losing 75
it was the result, i believe, and the president believes, of failed policies of george bush. that's what he walked into. very different world than anything in the campaign. here's what he did. he walked into office. we were shedding 750,000 jobs a month. you know all this. >> sean: wait a minute. >> let me finish. now we've created 5 million jobs over four years. >> sean: that's not true. that's not true, sir. sir, there are fewer americans working than when he took office....
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Oct 2, 2012
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here is my question how did george bush get elected twice if the media rigs the election. >> jennifer: but you have to admit that somebody who is not affiliated with either side of the aisle, that look at this and the right is complaining, the left is complaining. where do they debt an honest assessment? >> campaigns that are not doing well, get bad press. if you run bad campaigns, you get bad prez -- press. just watch the news itself. unless it's fox news most of the coverage is very straightforward, and you can tell who is telling the truth and who isn't. >> jennifer: eric boehlert, senior fellow of media matters for america, thank you so much for joining us inside "the war room" this evening. coming up digging up dirt on mitt romney is a hard job but somebody has to do it, and that's brett ehrlich. he's next. jennifer speaks truth to power. >>the bottom line is we need an amendment. >>now it's your turn. connect with "the war room" jennifer granholm. >>it's a call to arms. make your voice heard. ♪ and now it's not just the obama campaign pulling out all of the stops to trash mitt
here is my question how did george bush get elected twice if the media rigs the election. >> jennifer: but you have to admit that somebody who is not affiliated with either side of the aisle, that look at this and the right is complaining, the left is complaining. where do they debt an honest assessment? >> campaigns that are not doing well, get bad press. if you run bad campaigns, you get bad prez -- press. just watch the news itself. unless it's fox news most of the coverage is...
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al gore was criticized for sighing and rolling his eyes while debating george bush in 2000. and then capped it off with this moment. >> it is not what your philosophy and position on issues but can you get things done. and i believe i can. >> that's funny. i'm sorry. you hear this next one repeated many times. it came from ronald reagan during his debate with jimmy carter. reagan posed a simple question. >> are you better off than you were four years ago? >> four years later president reagan was 73 facing concerns about his age, an issue compounded by his shaky first debate and then turned the weakness into a strength with this line. >> i want you to know that also i will not make age an issue of this campaign. i am not going to exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience. >> bill clinton was on the other side of that equation while debating another 73 year old. this one was former senator bob dole. clinton handled the issue this way. >> i don't think senator bill is too old to be president. it's the age of his ideas that i question. >> so we'll have
al gore was criticized for sighing and rolling his eyes while debating george bush in 2000. and then capped it off with this moment. >> it is not what your philosophy and position on issues but can you get things done. and i believe i can. >> that's funny. i'm sorry. you hear this next one repeated many times. it came from ronald reagan during his debate with jimmy carter. reagan posed a simple question. >> are you better off than you were four years ago? >> four years...
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you will also see him learn from the mistakes i think of george bush the second in much the similar way and that he wanted to read a book, go to bed. he did not want to fool around with congress. it did not work well very early on. toward the end he got very engaged. it was interesting -- and you may see this with president obama. toward the end president bush really felt somewhat ostracized from his party. he felt there were letting him down in the sense that the right wing he could never do enough for them, and he just was really frustrated. for some reason -- i was a blue dog democrats and felt i was being shunned by the liberals, and he just wanted to talk about how do you deal with the other part of the party not liking what you are doing? he is going to reach out to congress and i think he will do a much better job of working with them. >> one of the aspects of the obama administration is how much politics has been driven from the white house. some politicians give lip service but obama seems to have gone pretty for the other way. with romney, how do you think he would resonate in
you will also see him learn from the mistakes i think of george bush the second in much the similar way and that he wanted to read a book, go to bed. he did not want to fool around with congress. it did not work well very early on. toward the end he got very engaged. it was interesting -- and you may see this with president obama. toward the end president bush really felt somewhat ostracized from his party. he felt there were letting him down in the sense that the right wing he could never do...